Thursday, October 5, 2017

DOE sets three-pronged strategy on gas supply sourcing



Published By Myrna M. Velasco

With the highly anticipated business model shift and policy reset in the country’s gas industry, the Department of Energy (DOE) has set off at least three core strategies on its planned gas supply sourcing.
Energy Secretary Alfonso G. Cusi noted that the first approach would be to discover the next Malampaya; second is importation of liquefied natural gas (LNG); and third strategy would be an amalgamation of both.
“The DOE is looking at three models on how the country will develop and utilize the natural gas resource: Namely, to source indigenous natural gas, like that of Malampaya; to import liquefied natural gas; and to combine both models,” he said.
Cusi qualified that “policy and regulatory framework crafting” will yet start, but at this stage, he noted that his department already signed up cooperation deals with development partners, primarily that of China, Japan and Singapore.
The energy chief further indicated that in their blueprint, they have cast gas investments both in the upstream and downstream segments – so that shall go from having an integrated LNG import terminal and storage, regasification facilities, pipelines and the end-user power generation facilities.
On supply sourcing though, the consternation of many stakeholders in the sector is what they perceive as “lack of drive” to pursue fresh round of exploration and development of petroleum resources that could possibly be a replacement for the depleting Malamapaya reserves.
Former Philippine National Oil Company-Exploration Corporation (PNOC-EC) President Rufino B. Bomasang pointed this out in the presence of the DOE in a recent energy business forum, citing that geological data lounging at the department actually show massive potential – but investors will not come in unless the government takes decisive step to fix the sector’s policy and regulatory dilemmas especially on the tax regime issue that had been vexing the industry.
Currently, PNOC is taking the lead on planned LNG investments, but beyond the design of the LNG terminal and the proposed gas sourcing strategy, the state-run run firm has a lot more concerns to seriously weigh if only to prove the viability of its planned ventures, primarily on the commercial side of things.
One major predicament would be the off-takers (capacity buyers) of the generated electricity of the gas plants that will be fueled by LNG, as announced by both the DOE and PNOC.
That would be a dilemma since “gas plants of merchant development state” had already been declared by banks as not “too viable” for financing, hence, these assets need to be tied up to power supply agreements.
Nevertheless, given that their costs would be comparatively higher than coal-fed generated capacity, it needs to be assessed if the distribution utilities or even industries within the contestable or retail threshold would end up as the “willing buyers.”
The other option will be for state-run PNOC to set up its own retail electricity supplier unit (RES) unit, but it has yet to make its own declaration if it has the determination to knock at every consumers’ door to sell its power plant capacity – like what many of the power generators have been doing.

No comments:

Post a Comment