March 11, 2019 | 9:46 pm By Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.
Going through
the Economy section of BusinessWorld last week, I checked these four
energy-related reports:
1. “NGCP declares
‘yellow alert’ for Luzon power grid” (March 06);
2. “Bill tapping
Malampaya fund to pay down Napocor debt hurdles bicameral session” (March 08);
3. “First Gen’s
Batangas LNG terminal project cleared by DoE” (March 08); and
4. “Power-line
obstruction bill could still pass before Congress closes” (March 11).
Report #1 refers to low
reserves on March 5 of only 624 MW, available capacity was only 10,115 MW due
to unscheduled shutdowns by some (aging?) power plants while peak demand hit
9,491 MW.
Report #2 refers to the
“Murang Kuryente” proposal, under House Bill (HB) 8869 and Senate Bill (SB)
1590, to allocate P208 billion of the net national government share in the
Malampaya fund to pay off Napocor’s stranded contract cost (SCC) and stranded
debt (SD).
Report #3 is about DoE
Secretary Cusi signing a notice to proceed (NTP) for First Gen Corp. to build a
liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal. Two other entities with similar
proposal were issued NTP by the DoE: Phoenix Petroleum and China Oil (CNOOC),
and Australian firm Energy World Corp. Ltd. (EWC) in Quezon province.
Report #4 is about HB
6276 and SB 2098 penalizing the construction of structures that interfere with
power transmission.
On report #1, it is
ironic that government targets fast GDP growth of 7-8% and yet we still
experience occasional near-deficiency in power during the hot months of March
to May. It is not possible to have sustained fast growth if there is
insufficient and limited supply of stable electricity.
From 2000 to 2017 or in
just 17 years, the expansion in electricity generation in terawatt hours (TWH)
and GDP size are as follows: China, 4.8x and 9.9x; Indonesia, 2.8x and 5.7x;
Vietnam, 7.2x and 7.1x; Philippines, 2.1x and 3.9x. Philippines’ power
generation is small (see table), there is no valid reason why certain groups
would oppose fast expansion of the country’s power generation capacity if the
power source is against their ideological beliefs.
On report #2, under SB
1590, SCC refers to the excess of the contracted IPP costs and the actual
selling price, SD is any unpaid financial obligation of Napocor. The good news
is that the bill will reduce power prices for the consumers as the universal
charge in our monthly electricity bill will significantly decline if not be
erased. The bad news is that the SCC and SD of Napocor/PSALM will keep rising
because PSALM will keep subsidizing the cost of its contracted energy by
selling low and buying high and still look “financially healthy.”
The Implementing Rules
and Regulations (IRR) should put a cap on the amount of SCC and SD to avoid
endless, bottomless complacency by NPC/PSALM. Over the long-term, these
government corporations should (a) learn to sell power rates at true costs, and
(b) fade away as there are many government agencies that regulate private
generating companies (DOE, ERC, SEC, BIR, LGUs…).
On report #3, there is
a draft substitute HB on “Downstream Natural Gas Industry Development Act” with
some lousy, anti-consumer provisions. For instance in Chapter IX (Incentives),
Section 34 (Natural Gas Portfolio Standards), it mandates that “all
distribution utilities shall be required to allocate ten percent (10%) of its
electricity capacity from natural gas.”
Proponents and
lobbyists of this bill or section intend to rob Philippine electricity
customers. Even if they price their natgas to high levels, DUs and customers
have no choice since they are coerced to buy minimum amount of natgas power. If
the claim by one big natgas company that “natgas is cheap and competitive
compared to coal” is true, then there is no need for this bill. That claim
therefore is a lie, hence a need for legislation to arm-twist DUs and customers
nationwide.
Related to report #4 is
the Energy Virtual One Stop Shop (EVOSS) under SB 1439 and HB 8417. The
bicameral meeting was finished and the bill may have been signed by President
Duterte already. It is among the very few laws to reduce red tape by
bureaucrats. For instance, Section 13 states: “Failure of the mother agency and
its attached bureaus, offices and agencies both on the national and local
level, including GOCCs, to release its action on applications duly filed with
complete supporting documents within the prescribed time frame shall be deemed
approved for such application…”
The IRR will soon be
issued, the reform should cover all power gencos with no exception and
favoritism.
The Arangkada
Philippines Project (TAPP) document on Power made Recommendation #15, “new
generators to enter the market with plants that are profitable at a much lower
cost per kWh, creating an abundant supply of baseload.” Amen.
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