Thursday, June 9, 2016

Why oil prices and power rates keep on rising



by Cecilio Arillo -

Rendering the public vulnerable to high electricity cost
POWER- sector reform programs rendered the public vulnerable to high electricity cost, profits motive of private power firm and loss of control over environment regulation. The end-result pointed toward significant impairment of consumer protection and transfer of corporate debts into public hands.
The Freedom from Debt Coalition (FDC) said requiring the implementation of a power-sector reform program as a condition for loan disbursements illustrated the way the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and other international financial institutions believed in a one-size-fits-all model, applicable to countries everywhere.
Power-sector reform programs were being advanced by those institutions, believing these changes to be panacea for improving technical, financial and managerial performance of power utilities.
These reforms in the power sector were enforced regardless of differences in the economic level of countries, the level of development of their power sectors, the number of people connected to the grid and the roots of the crisis faced by various public or state-owned utilities.
Indonesia and the Philippines have different stages of power-sector development, different models of electricity market structure and different conditions in terms of energy sources. Yet, said the FDC, the models and phases for power reform imposed by the ADB and the World Bank on the two countries were almost the same.
Many times in the past the ADB had also intervened in the internal process of reforms that countries are supposed to enjoy as sovereign states. It had gone beyond its role as loan provider, intervening to shape the substance of laws, government policies and programs.
According to FDC, the ADB practically drafted the electricity reform bills of Bangladesh and the Philippines and, in 1998, worked with the World Bank to draw up the Power Sector Restructuring Policy of Indonesia. Both institutions were also involved in drafting the Indonesia Electricity Bill. The ADB itself facilitated the very process of passing the bill into law, which explicitly declared that the second disbursement of the power-sector restructuring loan of $200 million, plus the additional cofinancing from Japan Bank for International Cooperation  of $200 million, would not be released without the law in place.
From the time the Electric Power Industry Reform Act (Epira) was drafted for the Philippine government, the ADB exercised undue influence to the country. FDC said some lawmakers exposed the scandalous payoff incidence in the privatization of NPC.
The ADB’s overarching goal to reduce poverty came under serious question due to the flawed process in reforms and the lack of genuine participation in the public sector. The ADB argued that the reforms in the power sector would help government cut subsidies for electricity which, in turn, would channel funds saved to other priority expenditure, such as health and education.
The idea for encouraging private- sector participation in IPP programs through build-operate-transfer (BOT)/BOOT, along with the implementation of the reform, had put private profit before public interest, FDC claimed. Private investors would always want to limit their losses and to cover most of their business risks, and they would always insist on government guarantees for their revenues. The case of BOT private infrastructure clearly demonstrated the nature of the ADB’s strategies and the lack of accountability in terms of longer-term development goals, such as debt and risk management. The World Bank itself admitted that guarantees could potentially create major budgetary shortfalls and dire consequences for future generations (Wyatt, 2002).
In the case of the Philippines, NPC admitted paying about P60 million a month to the Department of Finance to guarantee IPP projects starting in the 1990s.  The Epira law asserted that with privatization, competition and lower costs of energy would materialize. The Epira should have achieved two objectives—(1) reduce power costs and (2) assure power supply. It was supposed to create market-oriented competition and, thus, deregulation to lower power rates.
This premise hinged on the belief of the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and the ADB that imposing structural reforms to developing countries would free up government resources that could be utilized to pay past loans to these agencies.
Compliance to the policy of lending agencies was a condition for the release of new loans, as can be proven in the Congress passage of Republic Act 9136, the stimulus for the ADB and the Japan Export-Import Bank, an export credit agency, to release a total of $950 million in loans and guarantees. This huge release of loans triggered a series of borrowings by the Arroyo administration, hence, making it the biggest debtor in her time.
The World Bank is currently estimating the quantitative dimension of contingent liabilities. Some estimates of the government’s contingent liabilities run to about P3.1 trillion as of end-March 2002, representing maximum exposures under obligations, such as (a) liabilities of public pension institutions; (b) direct guarantees on loans to government-owned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs) and GFIs; (c) guarantees on risks under BOT contracts; and (d) deposit insurance.
Outstanding public-sector debt (national government and debts of GOCCs) as of 2010 was more than P5 trillion. The Philippines’s external debt to GDP ratio was second only to Indonesia at 69.1 and 75.8, respectively, in 2002. But as of the second quarter of 2003, the Philippines’s external debt to GDP ratio increased to 71 and Indonesia decreased to 69.6. The Philippines is now the highest in the region.
By comparison, Marcos debt in 1986 was $28.206 billion or P575.12 billion ($=P20.39, 1986 forex). Marcos’s accumulated budget in 20 years was P486.2 billion; the peso devaluated 24 times between 1981 ($=P7.90, forex) and 2004 ($=P55.55).

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